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Prediction for CME (2026-06-09T21:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-06-09T21:36ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46754/-1 CME Note: CME first seen to the SW in SOHO LASCO C2 starting at 2026-06-09T21:36Z. It is also seen to the SW in SOHO LASCO C3 and GOES CCOR-1 but is covered by a real-time data gap in STEREO A COR2. The is most likely an eruption from AR 14461 (S21W19) that appears to be heavily deflected southward likely due its proximity to a coronal hole that was centered around N00W05. The eruption is best seen in SDO AIA 193 as moving field lines and a large area of dimming directed toward the south. The eruption is also accompanied by C2.3 class flare from AR 14461 that peaked at 2026-06-09T19:18Z best seen in SDO AIA 131. In coronagraphs, this CME partially overlaps with far-sided CME: 2026-06-09T21:12Z. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-13T02:29Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -8.58 hour(s) Difference: 7.37 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-06-13T18:26Z |
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